Highlights from the Fed Chair Powells press conference after September rate decision

[ad_1] Pre-QA comments from chair Powell: Fed is squarely focused on dual mandate Fed has covered a lot of ground, full of facts have yet to be felt We can proceed carefully Our decisions will be based on assessments of data and risks Growths in real GDP has come in above expectations Consumer spending particularly

کد خبر : 404822
تاریخ انتشار : چهارشنبه ۲۹ شهریور ۱۴۰۲ - ۲۲:۲۴
Highlights from the Fed Chair Powells press conference after September rate decision

[ad_1]

Pre-QA comments from chair Powell:

  • Fed is squarely focused on dual mandate
  • Fed has covered a lot of ground, full of facts have yet to be felt
  • We can proceed carefully
  • Our decisions will be based on assessments of data and risks
  • Growths in real GDP has come in above expectations
  • Consumer spending particularly robust
  • Activity and housing has picked up
  • Higher rates weighing on business investment
  • Labor market remains tight.
  • Labor supply and demand continue to comment to better balance
  • Labor demand still exceeds supply
  • Expects labor market rebalancing to continue, easing upward pressure on inflation
  • Inflation remains well above our long-run goal of 2%
  • Getting inflation down to 2% has a long way to go
  • Longer term inflation expectations appear to be well anchored
  • Strongly committed to return inflation to 2%
  • Current stance of policy is restrictive, putting downward pressure on economic activity, employment and inflation
  • We are committed to achieving and sustaining sufficiently restrictive policy to bring inflation down to 2% over time
  • Federal Reserve will make decisions meeting by meeting. Federal Reserve is mindful of the uncertainties
  • The Fed is prepared to raise rates further if appropriate
  • Will keep rates restrictive until confident inflation moving down to 2%
  • Reducing inflation is likely to require a period of below trend growth, some softening of labor conditions
  • We will do everything we can to achieve goals
  • Restoring price stability is essential in reaching maximum growth potential

Q&A portion has begun at 2:39 PM.

  • The fact that we decide to keep policy rates where it is does not mean we have decided we have or have not reached stance of policy we are seeking
  • The majority of policymakers believe it is more likely than not another rate hike will be appropriate
  • Fed want to see convincing evidence that we have reached the appropriate level
  • Real interest rates are meaningfully positive
  • Recent labor market report was a good example of what we want to see
  • People want to be careful not to jump to a conclusion one way or the other
  • As a group it’s a pretty tight cluster around end of year rate review
  • We are fairly close we think to where we want to get
  • I would attribute huge importance to one hike
  • We need to get to a place where we are confident we can bring inflation down to 2% over time
  • Stronger economic activity is the main reason for needing to do more with rates.
  • In terms of neutral Ray, you only know when you get there.
  • It may be that the neutral rate has risen.
  • Median of neutral rate estimate hasn’t risen, but people are moving their estimates.
  • It is plausible that the neutral rate is higher than the longer run rate.
  • It is possible neutral rate at this moment is higher.

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