The PBoC left its LPR rates unchanged as expected: LPR 1-year 3.45%. LPR 5-year 4.20%. PBoC ECB’s Wunsch (hawk – voter) gave a clear signal that the ECB is going to hold rates steady in the next two months, but warned that an easing in financial conditions due to rate cuts bets could prompt further
ECB President Lagarde (neutral – voter) over the weekend spoke with a Greek newspaper and reaffirmed their commitment to bring inflation down to target by 2025: We are determined to bring inflation down to 2%. According to our projections we will get there in 2025. Our mandate is to ensure price stability, and this is
ECB’s Vujcic (neutral – voter) confirmed that the tightening cycle has ended, and the ECB will now hold rates steady for as long as necessary to get back to their 2% inflation target: We have finished with the process of raising interest rates for now. At this moment we see that inflation is falling, we
Monday: The New Zealand Services PMI fell further into contraction: BNZ Senior Economist Doug Steel commented: “The latest PCI readings suggest any bounce through the Q2 GDP figures will be short lived and are consistent with economic contraction returning. In this sense, the PMI and PSI results are more consistent with the RBNZ forecast of
Monday: BoJ Governor Ueda interviewed by Japanese media Yomiuri over the weekend said that his focus is on a “quiet exit” to avoid significant impact on the market: We could have enough data by year-end to determine whether we can end negative rates. Once we’re convinced Japan will see sustained rises in inflation accompanied by
Monday: ECB’s Wunsch (hawk – non voter) remains in favour of raising interest rates again: Underlying inflation remains persistent, may need more rate hikes. I’m inclined to say we maybe need to do a little bit more. The idea that we’ll have to come to a pause at a certain point can’t be excluded, but
Monday: BoJ Governor Ueda spoke on the weekend at the Jackson Hole Symposium and leant again on the dovish side: We think that underlying inflation is still a bit below our target. This is why we are sticking with our current monetary easing framework. BoJ Governor Ueda China halved the stamp duty on stock trading
Monday: The PBoC cut the 1-year LPR rate by less than expected and held the 5-year rate steady: LPR 1-year 3.45% vs. 3.40% expected and 3.55% prior. LPR 5-year 4.20% vs. 4.05% expected and 4.20% prior. PBoC The German July PPI missed expectations: PPI M/M -1.1% vs. -0.2% expected and -0.3% prior. PPI Y/Y -6.0%
Monday: Fed’s Bowman (hawk – voter) delivered hawkish comments over the weekend as she leans towards more rate hikes: We should remain willing to raise rates at a future meeting if data show inflation progress has stalled. In considering further rate hikes and how long to keep rates restrictive, consistent drops in inflation will be
Monday: Fed’s Kashkari (hawk – voter) kept the door open for a rate hike in September as the FOMC remains data dependent: Not sure when the Fed will be done raising interest rates, making good progress. Will let the data guide the Fed, may or may not raise rates in September. US Economy has remained
