EUR/USD ANALYSIS EUR/USD retreated on Wednesday, falling to a three-month low around the 1.0700 handle, as strong U.S. economic data increased the probability of additional FOMC policy firming in 2023, reinforced the case for a restrictive monetary policy position for an extended period and propelled U.S. Treasury yields upwards, with the 2-year yield comfortably breaking
Euro, EUR/USD, RSI Divergence – Technical Update: Euro closed at its lowest in almost 3 months EUR/USD close to ending dominant uptrend EUR/GBP once again approaching support Recommended by Daniel Dubrovsky Get Your Free EUR Forecast The Euro closed at its lowest against the US Dollar in almost 3 months, extending the downtrend since July.
Share: After initially rising to 1.0880, the EUR/USD declines to 1.0785, below the 200-day SMA at 1.0815. Manufacturing PMIs from the US showed better-than-expected results. The US DXY index and Treasury yields significantly recovered following the release. Following the release of a mixed Nonfarm Payrolls report, which saw employment rising higher than expected, wages decelerating
Share: US Nonfarm Payrolls are expected to increase by 170K in August, slowing from the 187K reported in July. The headline NFP and Average Hourly Earnings could impact the Fed’s future policy. The Unemployment Rate in the United States is seen steady at 3.5% in August. Traders scale back the odds of a
Share: US PCE inflation aligns with estimates but shows an uptick, while Initial Jobless Claims come in lower than expected, adding complexity to the Fed’s rate decision. ECB board member Isabel Schnabel reignites stagflation fears but doesn’t rule out more rate hikes; EU inflation data mixed, with core HICP falling to 5.3% YoY.
EURO AREA INFLATION KEY POINTS: Key News and Data Releases this Week, Download Your Free Guide for Tips on News Trading. Recommended by Zain Vawda Trading Forex News: The Strategy The core inflation rate in the Euro Area (filters out volatile food and energy prices) cooled coming in at 5.3% from a previous 5.5%. Core
EUR/USD daily chart The pair has put up quite a recovery this week, moving off the lows near 1.0800 after being pressured at the figure level and the 200-day moving average (blue line). Buyers are now trying to push the agenda, knocking on the door of the 100-day moving average (red line) at 1.0924 currently.
Number of traders net-short has increased by 31.22% from last week. SYMBOL TRADING BIAS NET-LONG% NET-SHORT% CHANGE IN LONGS CHANGE IN SHORTS CHANGE IN OI EUR/USD BULLISH 49.67% 50.33% -15.18% Daily -20.11% Weekly 15.15% Daily 31.22% Weekly -2.22% Daily -0.52% Weekly of clients are net long. of clients are net short. Change in Longs Shorts
German Inflation Proves Stubborn, Narrowly Beating Forecasts Inflation in Germany proved hotter than expected, coming in at 6.1% vs 6% but down from last month’s print of 6.2%. Higher inflation in Europe complicates the ECB’s task particularly after ‘sources’ indicated that the committee is leaning more to the dovish end of the policy spectrum ahead
EUR/USD and EUR/JPY Forecast – Prices, Charts, and Analysis Heavyweight US and Euro Area data are on tap this week. The US dollar remains undecided after chair Powell’s Jackson Hole speech. The Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank both reiterated their stance of keeping rates higher for as long as it takes at the
