Monday: The PBoC cut the 1-year LPR rate by less than expected and held the 5-year rate steady: LPR 1-year 3.45% vs. 3.40% expected and 3.55% prior. LPR 5-year 4.20% vs. 4.05% expected and 4.20% prior. PBoC The German July PPI missed expectations: PPI M/M -1.1% vs. -0.2% expected and -0.3% prior. PPI Y/Y -6.0%
It was a busy week for repricing monetary policy expectations, as central bank meeting minutes and top-tier data prints supported a longer period of high-interest rates for the major economies. Meanwhile, concerns over China’s growth and stability translated to limited risk-taking and even selling in the markets. Riskier assets like equities, commodities, and comdolls as
UPCOMING EVENTS: Monday: PBoC LPR. Wednesday: NZ Retail Sales, AU/JP/EZ/GB/US PMIs, Canada Retail Sales. Thursday: US Jobless Claims. Friday: Fed Chair Powell speaks at the Jackson Hole Symposium (24-26 August). Monday The PBoC is expected to cut the LPR rates by 15 bps as it did the last week with the MLF. The rate cuts
Stronger-than-expected U.S. and U.K. data releases supported hawkish biases for the Fed and BOE, boosting both the U.S. dollar and British pound to the top of this week’s rankings. Meanwhile, China’s growth concerns kept a lid on the demand for commodity-related currencies like AUD and NZD, as well as fueling risk aversion behavior this week.
Share: EUR/JPY dropped near 158.00, still trading in cycle highs. After two consecutive weeks of gains, the cross will close a weekly decline of 0.30%. The Japanese National CPI from July came in higher than expected. On Friday, the JPY traded strongly against most of its rivals, making the EUR/JPY cross retreat to
Share: AUD/JPY faces resistance from Tenkan and Kijun-Sen lines, currently trading just above at 93.93. Downside potential targets include the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud at 93.45 and the 93.00 psychological level. On the upside, reclaiming 94.00 could see challenges at the August 15 high (94.86) and the Kumo top near 95.00/05. The
UPCOMING EVENTS: Tuesday: PBoC MLF, Australia Wage Price Index, China Industrial Production, UK Jobs Report, German ZEW, US Retail Sales, Canada CPI, NAHB Housing Market Index. Wednesday: RBNZ Policy Decision, UK CPI, FOMC Meeting Minutes. Thursday: Australia Jobs Report, US Jobless Claims. Friday: Japan CPI, UK Retail Sales. Tuesday The PBoC is expected to keep
Share: The EUR/JPY traded in the red below the 159.00 area after five consecutive days of gains. The cross closed Friday with 1.65% weekly gains, trading in highs since 2008. Focus shifts to the Eurozone and Japan’s GDP for Q2, which will be released the following week. In Friday’s session, the EUR/JPY traded
Monday: Fed’s Bowman (hawk – voter) delivered hawkish comments over the weekend as she leans towards more rate hikes: We should remain willing to raise rates at a future meeting if data show inflation progress has stalled. In considering further rate hikes and how long to keep rates restrictive, consistent drops in inflation will be
Closing changes: Stoxx 600 -1.0% German DAX -0.9% UK FTSE 100 -1.2% French CAC -1.2% Italy MIB -1.0% Spain IBEX -0.7% On the week: Stoxx 600 flat German DAX -0.7% UK FTSE 100 -0.5% French CAC +0.4% Italy MIB -1.0% Spain IBEX +0.7% There’s a doji star on the weekly Stoxx 600 chart. Stoxx 600
