The Fed is waiting for the totality of the data to be released before deciding what to do at their September meeting. As of now, the data supports the soft-landing narrative as the disinflation in the core measures continues but the strength in the labour market and consumer spending might keep inflation higher for longer.
Despite good economic data like lower core inflation, stable jobless claims, lower inflation expectations and strong consumer spending that support the soft-landing narrative, the S&P 500 just keeps on falling with very shallow pullbacks. One of the main reasons might be the non-stop rally in long term yields and real yields as it makes financial
The USDCAD has been trading above and below its 200-day moving average over the last few trading days. Yesterday it broke to the upside and also extended above the 50% midpoint of the 2023 trading range. Both those developments tilts the bias of further in favor of the buyers. Stay above the 50% midpoint at
Euro, EUR/USD, US Dollar, EUR/JPY, Japanese Yen, Trend, Fibonacci, Momentum – Talking points Euro bearishness appears to have stalled against the US Dollar The trend in EUR/USD could face scrutiny in the next few sessions EUR/JPY is eyeing 158. If it breaks above there, will further bullishness unfold? Recommended by Daniel McCarthy How to Trade
Last week, the NFP missed expectations for a second time in a row and the previous numbers were all revised lower. This was seen as a disappointment as the labour market seems to be a touch weaker than previously expected. Nevertheless, the unemployment rate fell once again and lessened the disappointment from the miss in
Last week, the NFP missed expectations for a second time in a row and the previous numbers were all revised lower. This was seen as a disappointment as the labour market seems to be a touch weaker than previously expected. Nonetheless, the unemployment rate fell once again and lessened the disappointment from the miss in
The EURUSD wandered lower this week and in the process dipped below the 50% midpoint of the range since the 2021 high on the daily chart at 1.0942. What the price in the EURUSD could not do is stay below the rising 100-day moving average currently at 1.09193. That moving average was tested on Wednesday
Last week, the Fed hiked interest rates by 25 bps bringing the FFR to 5.25-5.50% as widely expected. The policy statement was left unchanged, so the market couldn’t get any signal for the next moves. In fact, the focus was not on the decision itself, but on the forward guidance. Fed Chair Powell in his
As we finish the trading week and look toward the new trading week, the sellers are more in control in the AUDUSD. The bias is more to the downside on both the daily and hourly chart. Having said that, the pair has been mostly in an up-and-down trading range over the last 5 trading months.
Yesterday, the Fed hiked interest rates by 25 bps bringing the FFR to 5.25-5.50% as widely expected. The policy statement was left basically unchanged, so the market couldn’t get any signal for the next moves. In fact, the focus was not on the decision itself, but on the forward guidance. Fed Chair Powell in his
