The evolution of Fed funds futures market pricing

Here is a great chart snapshot from BMO showing how Fed pricing has changed in the past year. Most of 2023 involved the market buying into the idea of higher-for-longer Fed funds but since October 18, there has been a fresh attempt to price in rate cuts, despite ongoing hawkish Fed rhetoric. That came after

Just a minor shift in BOE rates pricing right after the decision

Here’s a look at how the OIS curve has shifted before and after the BOE policy decision today: It’s not much of a change in general as the BOE continues to allude to the fact that they are going to keep tightening policy further so long as the data suggests so. That is regardless of