The Euro has a problem this month if all the data is dull – SocGen

Share: Kit Juckes, Chief Global FX Strategist at Société Générale, analyzes the EUR outlook. EUR/USD needs help from the data calendar or else… The Euro comes into August with short-term rate differentials drifting against it and long EUR futures positions looking vulnerable.  Something needs to happen to boost confidence in another 25 bps

Tighter standards and weaker demand for commercial and industrial loans during Q2

Share: The Federal Reserve (Fed) released the July 2023 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS) that “addressed changes in the standards and terms on, and demand for, bank loans to businesses and households over the past three months, which generally correspond to the second quarter of 2023.” The survey

Looks set to deliver biggest monthly close of 2023

Share: Oil prices aim to deliver the biggest monthly close of the year as interest rates from global central banks will peak sooner. Overall demand for oil will remain upbeat in the US economy as fears of a recession fade. WTI prices delivered a breakout of the Descending Triangle chart pattern. West Texas

Gold capitalizes on soft consumer expenditure and labor cost growth

Share: Gold price falls back as Greenback swallows steroids amid US economic resilience. US Q2 GDP, demand for Durable Goods in June remained robust due to higher consumer spending. US recession fears fade significantly amid upbeat labor market conditions. Gold price (XAU/USD) recovers downside blip propelled by softer-than-anticipated United States Q2 Employment Cost index and

“Soft landing” for US economy would weigh on XAU/USD – Commerzbank

Share: Interest rate expectations are likely to continue driving the Gold price, strategists at Commerzbank report. US economic data should be a key driver of the Gold price The US economy grew by 2.4% on an annualised basis in the second quarter, and thus more sharply than expected. This means there is still

Atlanta Fed GDPNow model starts Q3 growth at 3.5%

Atlanta Fed GDPNow growth est for Q3 starts at 3.5% The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model which forecasts growth for the quarter from published data has started its Q3 estimate at 3.5%. In their own words: The initial GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2023 is