The U.S. presidential election draws near, and investors are on high alert as the outcomes of Kamala Harris’s and Donald Trump’s contrasting economic policies could have significant ramifications for the financial markets. With key decisions looming around tax rates, regulation, energy policy, and trade, the potential for market volatility increases depending on who gets into
The GBPUSD is back below its 200 day moving average The GBPUSD ran higher yesterday, and in the process extended toward its 100-day moving average near 1.2512. The high price got within 7 pips of that level at 1.2505 before rotating back to the downside. In trading today, lower-than-expected CPI data out of the UK
Trade Smarter – Sign up for the DailyFX Newsletter Receive timely and compelling market commentary from the DailyFX team Subscribe to Newsletter Most Read: Euro Weekly Forecast – EUR/USD, EUR/GBP Await ECB. Breakout or Breakdown Ahead? The Bank of Canada will announce its October monetary policy decision on Wednesday. The institution headed by Tiff Macklem
The decision was expected by markets: From RBC’s response, analysts at the bank note that while headline CPI has slowed, the BoC’s preferred core measure remains persistently above the 2% target. Inflation is likely to gain in the near term: Wage growth is still high oil prices higher in recent weeks RBS note that rates
Jobs market cooling a bit but still extremely strong Goods inflation has been tough to bring down Highlights improvements in US productivity as disinflationary Fed has to be patient, monetary policy has lags Question should be: How long are we going to stay at these levels, not about when the next hike will be Holding
A snippet on what Deutsche Bank is expecting from the Bank of England: expect a +25bps hike taking the Bank Rate to 5.25% it is a close call between that and +50bps Beyond next week’s decision, see two more +25bps hikes rate cuts potentially starting from Q2 of 2024 — Announcement due at 1100 GMT,
TD is anticipating that the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points, which will be the final increase. Even so, the analysts go on, the FOMC will likely continue to validate the dots while maintaining a hawkish tilt. It follows the tried-and-true “have your cake and eat it too” strategy. TD says they believe
