Share: Since the surprise interest rate hike on August 24, which gave the Lira a tidy 6% boost, the Turkish currency has been depreciating as if on a string. Economists at Commerzbank analyze TRY outlook ahead of the Turkish Central Bank (CBT) Interest Rate Decision. CBT’s restrictive monetary policy is only a necessary
Share: Gold price is continuing to profit from the Middle East crisis. Economists at Commerzbank analyze the yellow metal’s outlook. Gold in demand as safe haven The news coming out of the Middle East is likely to continue to dictate the direction for Gold, whereas previously dominant factors such as changes in bond
Share: Focus back on the Euro. Economists at Commerzbank analyze the single currency outlook. Euro might suffer a dampener if Eurozone PMIs do not stabilise The Eurozone PMIs, due for publication today, are likely to further dampen any hopes of an economic recovery. The indicators are likely to confirm the projections of our
Share: USD/JPY has risen again to the area just below the 150 mark. Economists at Commerzbank analyze the pair’s outlook. The MOF’s intervention policy is dangerous The window in which the BoJ could have initiated a monetary policy turnaround is slowly closing. The headline inflation rate is falling and the core rate has
Share: Even though it looked during the course of the week as if EUR/CHF might recover that is not going to be the case for now. Economists at Commerzbank analyze the pair’s outlook. SNB is likely to tolerate the strong Franc As long as the conflict in the Middle East is brewing and
Share: The US labor market held up surprisingly well in September. Pressure for another rate hike is rising, economists at Commerzbank report. Data for the previous months were revised significantly upward In September, job growth in the US amounted to 336K, which was significantly more than expected. The continued strong employment growth –
Share: Scepticism about whether the BoE will ultimately act restrictively enough is likely to continue to weigh on the Pound in the near term, economists at Commerzbank report. EUR/GBP to appreciate in the coming quarters The market is likely to be dominated by concerns that the BoE is acting too slowly and cautiously
Share: Gold price has been under pressure this week and has dropped back to $1,860, its lowest price in a good six months. Strategists at Commerzbank analyze the yellow metal’s outlook. Gold will probably find it difficult to come out of the defensive For as long as the market continues to expect a
Share: EUR/USD is approaching 1.06. Economists at Commerzbank analyze the pair’s outlook. Interest rate cuts could become concretely apparent in the US In the medium term, we expect the Fed to lower its key rate again next year as the US economy cools. At the same time, the ECB is likely to keep
Share: Central banks are in the spotlight. Economists at Commerzbank analyze how their fight against inflation could impact the exchange rates. End of rate hikes does not mean victory over inflation – yet The market has accepted that the rate hike cycle will come to an end for now, despite the fact that
