Share: The Norges Bank was a leader in terms of policy tightening, beginning back in September 2021. Economists at CIBC Capital Bank see rates peaking at the end of the year. One last hike for the Norges Bank? Having hiked rates on 13 occasions, the Norges Bank remains biased towards an additional 25
CIBC today indicates that next week it will upwardly revise its forecasts for US economic growth and pencil in an additional Fed hike this year. That move goes against the current prevailing market thinking that has the Fed stuck on the sidelines for months. Current pricing suggests only an 8% chance of a hike on
Share: The Canadian economy unexpectedly contracted during the second quarter, as indicated by data released on Friday. Analysts at CIBC point out that the decline in consumption is likely to hinder any future interest rate hikes by the Bank of Canada. Key Quotes: Forest fires may be taking a few decimal places off
Share: Data released on Friday showed the Canadian economy lost 6,400 jobs in July, against consensus of a 21,100 increase. Analysts at CIBC point out there were further signs of loosening within the Canadian labour market in July, with a slight dip in employment contributing to another uptick in the unemployment rate.They warn
Share: Economists at CIBC Capital Markets expect the USD/MXN pair to extend its decline in the coming months. Long MXN positions look overstretched by a number of metrics Although long MXN positions look overstretched by a number of metrics, we are reducing our Q3 and Q4 USD/MXN forecast to 17.50, and 18.00, respectively.
CIBC continues to believe the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 25 basis points once again in September. The below consensus hiring and past downward revisions suggests that the labor market is coming into better balance. Still, the drop in the unemployment rate and solid wage growth will keep the Fed on track for a
Share: Data released on Friday showed that Canadian GDP posted a 0.3% monthly increase in May, in line with forecasts. Analysts at CIBC pointed out that the economy had its ups and downs during the second quarter, but despite the monthly volatility, it appears that growth cooled a little more than the Bank