Share: In recent weeks, the bond market has seen another hawkish lurch. Economists at ABN Amro look at the drivers of the move so far and make an assessment of whether the rise in yields can be sustained. What is going on in the bond markets? Given the recent economic development in both
Share: OPEC countries’ new strategy is driving up Oil prices. Economists at Natixis analyze the big difference between the effects of high Oil prices on the US and the Eurozone. The Eurozone is getting poorer relative to the US The new strategy of the OPEC countries, with their production cuts, will result in
Share: Scepticism about whether the BoE will ultimately act restrictively enough is likely to continue to weigh on the Pound in the near term, economists at Commerzbank report. EUR/GBP to appreciate in the coming quarters The market is likely to be dominated by concerns that the BoE is acting too slowly and cautiously
Share: USD/BRL has crossed back above 5.00. Economists at Société Générale analyze the pair’s outlook. Defence of 4.84 crucial for persistence in up move USD/BRL has extended its rebound after carving out a higher low at 4.84 as compared to the one in July near 4.69. It has crossed above the descending channel
Share: Gold price has been under pressure this week and has dropped back to $1,860, its lowest price in a good six months. Strategists at Commerzbank analyze the yellow metal’s outlook. Gold will probably find it difficult to come out of the defensive For as long as the market continues to expect a
Share: Economists at Wells Fargo discuss Turkish Lira (TRY) outlook. Sentiment toward Türkiye can improve To be clear, we still forecast a weaker Turkish currency over the course of our forecast horizon; however, we have scaled back the magnitude of that depreciation to reflect improving and more orthodox trends in policy. After 21.50
Share: USD/JPY has broken above the 149 level. Economists at MUFG Bank analyze Yen’s outlook. Opposition to currency weakness remains firm We continue to see a high chance of intervention but only after a break above the 150 level when there is a higher chance of stops fuelling volatility and ‘disorderly’ price action
Share: Oil prices are currently up by more than 25% this quarter. Economists at ING expect Brent to break above $100 in the near term. However, they do not believe such a move will be sustainable. Oil price rally likely to continue, but not sustainable in the longer run We expect Oil prices
Share: Economists at Crédit Agricole highlight uncertainties surrounding a potential US government shutdown and its implications for the USD. Some relief and support to the USD if a resolution to prevent the shutdown is reached before the deadline The expectation is that a resolution will be reached before the 1 October deadline, possibly
Share: GBP dropped this week on the back of the BoE’s unchanged policy decision. Economists at Rabobank have revised down their six-month EUR/GBP forecast modestly. Gloomy economic outlook for the Eurozone The dip in GBP after the steady policy decision from the BoE this week has lifted EUR/GBP towards the top of its
