Share: Oil prices are likely to settle around $80/bbl, strategists at ANZ Bank report. Saudi Arabia may extend cuts as Oil market tightness eases Tightness in the Oil market has eased as growth in non-OPEC supply has more than offset strong demand. A balanced Oil market now remains reliant on production cuts being
Share: Economists at ING are bullish on the NZD/USD and are interested in whether the new government changes the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s remit – a potentially bullish factor for the Kiwi. New government, higher rates? The New Zealand Dollar should benefit like AUD from a gradual optimistic rerating of growth expectations
Share: Economists at Danske Bank expect the USD/JPY pair to nosedive over the coming months. Turnaround in US yields to weigh on USD/JPY We forecast USD/JPY to decline below 140 on a 6-12M horizon. This is primarily because we believe that long US yields have reached their peak. We expect yield differentials to
Share: The continuation of the upside momentum could lift EUR/USD to the 1.0945 level in the near term, comment Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang at UOB Group. Key Quotes 24-hour view: We noted yesterday that “the current price action is likely part of a consolidation phase,” and we expected
Share: Economists at ING analyze USD/JPY outlook for the next year. Big policy changes in Japan can have a big impact on USD/JPY On the subject of carry, lower volatility favours the carry trade and also the yen as a funding currency. However, we have some quite aggressive forecasts for a lower USD/JPY
Share: Gold was able to gain something of a foothold again at the start of the week. Economists at Commerzbank analyze the yellow metal’s outlook. Gold likely to tread water ahead of US inflation data Gold’s recovery potential is likely to remain limited ahead of the US inflation data due to be published
Share: Economists at Rabobank analyze GBP outlook against USD and EUR. Potential for further downside risks to Cable In view of downside risks to global growth, we expect the USD to remain well supported in the coming months as subdued levels of risk appetite underpin safe-haven assets. This suggests potential for further downside
Share: It is quite a big week for Sterling. Economists at ING analyze GBP outlook. Some independent weakness emerging There does appear to be a little independent weakness emerging in Sterling, although the Bank of England’s trade-weighted index is only off around 0.6% over the last few days. Quite a large 1.7% MoM
Share: The Brazilian Real has performed very impressively against the USD since the beginning of October. Economists at Commerzbank analyze USD/BRL outlook. Real seems well equipped – for now Of course, it is easier to sound hawkish while the real economy seems robust. It gets more difficult once a recession is approaching or
Share: Researchers from Nordea are out with a note highlighting that the Fed’s (and other central banks’) fight with inflation will remain an ongoing task for longer than most might be expecting, with Nordea currently anticipating a lack of any rate cuts until well into 2025. Major forecasts: Firmly on hold The central
