The strong US data in the past months and the quick rise in Treasury yields and the US Dollar weighed a lot on Gold, which threatened at some point a complete breakdown. Recently, we started to see a turnaround in the data beginning with the miss in the US PMIs last week and the big
US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. The US economic data keeps on surprising to the upside, but inflation expectations and CPI readings continue to show disinflation with the last two Core CPI M/M
September rate hikes less likely after weak European PMI round. Both the UK and Eurozone reports were much weaker than anticipated and signal an acceleration in the pace of contraction. At the same time the weakness is no longer concentrated in manufacturing, with demand falling across the board. Monetary policy is restrictive on both sides
The Fed is waiting for the totality of the data to be released before deciding what to do at their September meeting. As of now, the data supports the soft-landing narrative as the disinflation in the core measures continues but the strength in the labour market and consumer spending might keep inflation higher for longer.
Despite good economic data like lower core inflation, stable jobless claims, lower inflation expectations and strong consumer spending that support the soft-landing narrative, the S&P 500 just keeps on falling with very shallow pullbacks. One of the main reasons might be the non-stop rally in long term yields and real yields as it makes financial
Last week, the NFP missed expectations for a second time in a row and the previous numbers were all revised lower. This was seen as a disappointment as the labour market seems to be a touch weaker than previously expected. Nevertheless, the unemployment rate fell once again and lessened the disappointment from the miss in
Last week, the NFP missed expectations for a second time in a row and the previous numbers were all revised lower. This was seen as a disappointment as the labour market seems to be a touch weaker than previously expected. Nonetheless, the unemployment rate fell once again and lessened the disappointment from the miss in
Last week, the Fed hiked interest rates by 25 bps bringing the FFR to 5.25-5.50% as widely expected. The policy statement was left unchanged, so the market couldn’t get any signal for the next moves. In fact, the focus was not on the decision itself, but on the forward guidance. Fed Chair Powell in his
Yesterday, the Fed hiked interest rates by 25 bps bringing the FFR to 5.25-5.50% as widely expected. The policy statement was left basically unchanged, so the market couldn’t get any signal for the next moves. In fact, the focus was not on the decision itself, but on the forward guidance. Fed Chair Powell in his
Markets Reigned In Tightening Expectations Oil prices rose with stock markets last week as tightening expectations were reigned in. Supply restrictions are also starting to bite, although China’s weak recovery continues to weigh on sentiment, and the IEA cut… لینک منبع : هوشمند نیوز
