UK: The BoE kept interest rates unchanged at the last meeting. The central bank is leaning more towards keeping interest rates “higher for longer” but it kept a door open for further tightening if inflationary pressures were to be more persistent. Key economic data like the latest employment report showed a very high wage growth
US: The Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected at the last meeting. The macroeconomic projections were revised higher as the economy showed much stronger resilience than expected and the Dot Plot showed that the majority of members still expects another rate hike by the end of the year with less rate cuts in 2024.
Last Friday, the NFP report massively beat forecasts with 336K jobs added against 170K expected. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 3.8% and average hourly earnings were a touch lower. Overall, the market viewed it as a good release with the soft-landing narrative prevailing. Over the weekend, Hamas launched a big attack against Israel which
Despite the strength in the US data this week and another beat in Jobless Claims yesterday, the Nasdaq Composite didn’t sell off like we saw in the past week. The index is hovering around a key support level and it looks like the soft landing vibes might be returning now that the hangover from the
The miss in the ADP report yesterday gave the market a bit of relief after a series of strong economic data like Jobless Claims, ISM Manufacturing PMI and Job Openings. The ISM services PMI has also printed bang on expectations, and coupled with the other reports, supports the soft-landing narrative. Moreover, the market was also
US: The Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected. The macroeconomic projections were revised higher as the economy showed much stronger resilience than expected and the Dot Plot showed that the majority of members still expects another rate hike by the end of the year with less rate cuts in 2024. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed
US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. The US CPI last week came in line with expectations, so the market’s pricing remained roughly the same. The labour market displayed signs
US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. The US CPI this week came in line with expectations, so the market’s pricing remained roughly the same. The labour market displayed signs
US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. The US CPI yesterday came in line with expectations, so the market’s pricing remained roughly the same. The labour market displayed signs of
US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed signs of softening although it remains fairly solid. Overall, the economic data
