PIMCO says bullish longer term bonds (12 month horizon), cites peaking inflation

PIMCO said it was bullish on the performance of long-term bonds:

• continue to favour long-term bonds over the next year, as they provide high yields not seen for over a decade while offering a cushion against economic uncertainty
• and expectations inflation has peaked

More:

• U.S. economic growth is expected to slow the remainder of 2023 and next year, “hovering between stagnation and mild recession,”
• said much of this year’s resilience was due to fiscal support, with deficits widening and U.S. households still benefiting from pandemic-related stimulus measures
• but it sees that support waning next year at the same time as inflation keeps eroding households’ excess savings

• “As fiscal support fades, the drag from tighter monetary policy will intensify,”

Adds also:

• Core U.S. inflation is likely to be in the 2.5%-3% area by the end of next year

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Pacific Investment Management Company (PIMCO) is an investment management firm.