Monday: Fed’s Bowman (hawk – voter) delivered hawkish comments over the weekend as she leans towards more rate hikes: We should remain willing to raise rates at a future meeting if data show inflation progress has stalled. In considering further rate hikes and how long to keep rates restrictive, consistent drops in inflation will be
Share: US Producer Price Index (PPI) surpasses estimates, bolstering the US Dollar as Treasury yields soar. Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is expected to maintain rates at 5.50%, adding pressure on the NZD. NZD/USD’s future hinges on US economic data and potential RBNZ rate surprises; 0.5900 level in sight. NZD/USD plunges below
The market is showing high sensitivity to anything touching inflation at the moment. The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey was slightly stronger at 71.2 compared to 71.0 expected but the market may be cheering the improvement in inflation expectations, as the one-year metric fell to 3.3% from 3.4% and the 5-year metric to 2.9%
Share: Pound Sterling faces selling pressure despite the UK economy turning out more resilient in June than expected. Upbeat United Kingdom factory data showcase optimism among producers in spite of a highly-inflated price environment. Monthly Industrial and Manufacturing Production data grew by 1.8% and 2.4% in June, respectively. The Pound Sterling (GBP) seems to be
Closing changes: Stoxx 600 -1.0% German DAX -0.9% UK FTSE 100 -1.2% French CAC -1.2% Italy MIB -1.0% Spain IBEX -0.7% On the week: Stoxx 600 flat German DAX -0.7% UK FTSE 100 -0.5% French CAC +0.4% Italy MIB -1.0% Spain IBEX +0.7% There’s a doji star on the weekly Stoxx 600 chart. Stoxx 600
Share: Gold weakness has extended back to key support at $1,898/1,893 but strategists at Credit Suisse continue to look for a floor here. Weekly close below $1,893 would reinforce the longer-term sideways range We look for key support and the 38.2% retracement of the 2022/2023 uptrend, 200-DMA and June low at $1,900/$1,891 to
While Bitcoin seems to be on the road to recovery, the last few months have not been great for the crypto industry in the United States. It has been revealed that Binance, one of the biggest exchanges in the world, considered shutting its doors in the country. This also comes as popular UK digital bank
Share: US crude oil benchmark, WTI, rises for the third consecutive day, trading at $83.48, up by 0.80%. Oil demand is predicted to grow by 2.25 million bpd in 2024, down from 2024’s 2.44 million bpd, according to OPEC+. Weakness in China’s economy could dent oil demand. Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US
WTI crude oil daily chart Oil will be an interesting spot to watch as it fights for a sixth straight week of gains. It’s currently trading at $83.69, which is up 80 cents but more importantly is above the April high of $83.53. A close above that level The driver at the moment appears to
EUR/USD: Inflation, GDP, and Prospects for Monetary Policy ● Looking at the two-week flat trend on the EUR/USD chart, one is reminded that it’s August, a vacation season. Even the US inflation data released on Thursday, August 10th, couldn’t disrupt the relaxed demeanour of traders. And yet, they warrant close attention. The year-on-year Consumer Price
